Himachal Pradesh will vote in a single phase on November 4, and the counting of the votes will take place weeks later, on December 20 along with Gujarat 30 october 2012.
68-member state Assembly will be known only then, a pre-poll survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) for CNN-IBN shows that it will be a very close contest between the BJP and Congress, with 41 per cent of votes going to the BJP and 40 per cent to the Congress. So, although the BJP is a nose ahead of the Congress in terms of vote-share, its share has dropped from 2007, when the party won 41 seats in the 68-member state Assembly. The Congress ended with only 19 seats, although it had been the dominant party in the previous twenty years.
survey shows BJP with 41% down 3% and Congress with 40% up 1%. A statistically dead-heat since in India though polls claim a + 3%, in reality it is near + 5%.
उससे पहले आईबीएन7 के लिए सीएसडीएस ने सर्वे किया और जानने की कोशिश की कि कैसा है प्रदेश के मतदाताओं का मूड। क्या हैं उनके लिए चुनावी मुद्दे और क्या हैं राष्ट्रीय मुद्दों पर उनकी सोच।
Watch online ibn 7 exit poll youtube video
But the momentum is clear – it is away from the BJP and positive for the Congress. Accordingly, these figures should put a smile on Congress faces.
Age group Congress BJP
18-25 years 42 (+7) 37 (-12)
26-35 years 38 (-4) 44 (+3)
36-45 years 45 (+9) 39 (-10)
46-55 years 35 (0) 47 (+7)
56+ years 39 (-5) 39 (-3)
Secondly, a whopping 19% is accounted by others. In a case of a hung house, the Congress remains favourites in stitching together a coalition with other political parties and independents. In short, the Congress sits pretty.
read more:: http://ibnlive.in.com/news/himachal-pradesh-vote-projection-congress-bjp-neck-and-neck/302891-3-254.html