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Himachal Pradesh vote projection: Congress, BJP neck and neck

Himachal Pradesh will vote in a single phase on November 4, and the counting of the votes will take place weeks later, on December 20 along with Gujarat 30 october 2012.
68-member state Assembly will be known only then, a pre-poll survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) for CNN-IBN shows that it will be a very close contest between the BJP and Congress, with 41 per cent of votes going to the BJP and 40 per cent to the Congress. So, although the BJP is a nose ahead of the Congress in terms of vote-share, its share has dropped from 2007, when the party won 41 seats in the 68-member state Assembly. The Congress ended with only 19 seats, although it had been the dominant party in the previous twenty years.
survey shows BJP with 41% down 3% and Congress with 40% up 1%. A statistically dead-heat since in India though polls claim a + 3%, in reality it is near + 5%.
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Watch online ibn 7 exit poll youtube video

But the momentum is clear – it is away from the BJP and positive for the Congress. Accordingly, these figures should put a smile on Congress faces.

Age group? Congress? BJP?
18-25 years 42 (+7) 37 (-12)
26-35 years 38 (-4) 44 (+3)
36-45 years 45 (+9) 39 (-10)
46-55 years 35 (0) 47 (+7)
56+ years 39 (-5) 39 (-3)
Secondly, a whopping 19% is accounted by others. In a case of a hung house, the Congress remains favourites in stitching together a coalition with other political parties and independents. In short, the Congress sits pretty.

read more:: http://ibnlive.in.com/news/himachal-pradesh-vote-projection-congress-bjp-neck-and-neck/302891-3-254.html